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Tuesday, January 31, 2023

Dollar General gets into health care with three mobile clinics near southwestern Kentucky, says it will expand if successful

Cunningham, Tenn., is the site of one of three Dollar General mobile health-care clinics. (Google Maps)
Dollar General Corp., a Scottsville, Kentucky-born company that moved its headquarters to suburban Nashville but has become ubiquitous across the commonwealth, has expanded into health care.

The retailer has established two mobile clinics just south of Clarksville, Tenn, which sits on the Kentucky border at Fort Campbell, and one at Cumberland Furnace, Tenn., between Clarksville and Dickson.

The clinics are operated by DocGo, which says it operates in 26 states as a "last-mile" health-care provider. It "sends clinicians to locations to provide care that would typically require patients to visit a physical clinic," reports Advisory Board, a health-care consultancy. "If the pilot is successful, the company said it will likely expand the mobile clinics to additional locations."

The company has created a DG Wellbeing brand of health-care products. Its website says the mobile clinics will offer urgent care services, physical exams and routine checkups, vaccinations and immunizations, screening and lab testing, and care for chronic conditions, including hypertension and diabetes.

The clinics accept Medicaid, Medicare, and some private insurance. They bill at urgent-care rates. 

"Dollar General is not the first retailer to launch a 'retail health care' business," Advisory Board says. "However, some experts believe the company could be uniquely poised to expand access to care in rural, underserved communities. Dollar General's widespread presence in rural areas could serve as a competitive advantage."

The company estimates that 75 percent of the U.S. population lives within five miles of one of its stores, and "Many of its retail locations are in areas that are far from traditional healthcare options and other ;retail health care' companies," Advisory Board says.

"Still, as Dollar General continues expanding its health-care presence, some experts have noted that the retailer may face staffing issues like those that exist in the larger healthcare sector. Jeff Goldsmith, president of the consultancy Health Futures, told Advisory Board, "Anybody that wants to do something new is going to have to figure out how to staff up. . . . The fundamental question is, why work for them? What's the value proposition for the health-care worker?"

Monday, January 30, 2023

Covid-19 cases increase and flu cases decrease in Ky.; Biden says he will end public health emergencies for pandemic May 11

N.Y. Times graphs of infection rates with top 3 jurisdictions, excluding Virgin Islands; click to enlarge.

By Melissa Patrick

Kentucky Health News

New coronavirus cases in Kentucky increased by 23 percent last week, continuing an up-and-down pattern that creates a rough plateau. Meanwhile, influenza cases decreased for the seventh week in a row. 

“We have not seen the substantial increases in hospitalization or cases that we saw after the holidays last year,” Gov. Andy Beshear said at his weekly press conference Jan. 26. “We’re kind of bumping up and down a little bit (from) month to month, but nothing like we previously lived through.”

The state Department for Public Health's latest weekly report showed 6,369 new cases of the coronavirus from Monday through Sunday, or nearly 910 cases per day. That's up from 701 a day the week before. Nearly 19% of the cases were in people 18 or younger. 

The share of Kentuckians testing positive for the coronavirus in the past seven days was 10.05%, down slightly from 10.27% the week prior. These numbers do not reflect at-home testing. 

The weekly new-case rate was 12.98 cases per 100,000 residents, up a bit from 12.54 the week before. The top 10 counties were Barren, 33.9 cases per 100,000; Adair, 29.8; Cumberland, 28.1; Wolfe, 27.9; Boyd, 26.6; Perry, 25.5; Metcalfe, 24.1; Clay, 23.7; Woodford, 23.5; and Breathitt, 22.6.

The New York Times ranks Kentucky's new-case rate second among the states, with a 2% increase in the last two weeks. Tennessee ranked first for this measure. The Times's numbers often differ from state numbers because they use different methodologies. 

Covid-19 hospital numbers continue to drop. Kentucky hospitals reported 294 patients with the disease, down 24; 56 were in intensive care, up one; and 24 were on mechanical ventilation, down three. 

The state attributed 52 more deaths to Covid-19 last week, up from 45 the week before. Data from the last four state reports show Kentucky is experiencing about 48 deaths per week from Covid-19. The state's pandemic death toll is now 17,890. 

The end is near: Meanwhile, President Biden told Congress Monday that he will end the twin national emergencies for addressing Covid-19 on May 11, which will restructure the federal response to treat the virus as an endemic threat to public health that can be managed through agencies’ normal authorities.

Biden's move came "as lawmakers have already ended elements of the emergencies that kept millions of Americans insured during the pandemic. Combined with the drawdown of most federal Covid-19 relief money, it would also shift the development of vaccines and treatments away from the direct management of the federal government," reports Zeke Miller of The Associated Press

The World Health Organization said Monday that Covid-19 remains a "public health emergency of international concern," but the pandemic is at a "transition point." 

Department for Public Health graph; click it to enlarge.

Flu cases keep decreasing

Flu cases in Kentucky continue to decline, but as long as there is any flu activity, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommends a flu shot for anyone 6 months and older. Flu season runs through May. 

"Remember, the flu shot works really well against this strain," Beshear said at the news conference. 

The state's latest weekly flu report shows 309 new cases of the flu were confirmed in the week ended Jan. 21, down from 633 the week prior, a drop of 51%. 

The number of confirmed cases this season is 41,413, a number that includes the new cases as well as a backlog of cases from UK HealthCare that had not been previously reported. The prior report, with data from the week ended Jan. 14, reported 39,425 confirmed flu cases this season. 

Kentucky's flu activity level remains "regional," meaning cases have been confirmed in at least two, but fewer than half, of the state's 16 regions.

The report says flu has killed eight children and 122 adults this flu season, with four of the adult cases due to the flu and Covid-19 coinfection. There was no change from the prior week's report. 

By far the highest number of cases is among children 10 and younger, followed by people 11 to 20.

Counties with the highest number of flu cases were Jefferson, 151; Jessamine, 46; Madison, 35; Scott, 32; and Woodford, 24.

Saturday, January 28, 2023

CDC: Only 5 Ky. counties have high risk from coronavirus; FDA panel recommends one annual Covid-19 vaccination for everyone

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention map
By Melissa Patrick
Kentucky Health News

Only five Kentucky counties, all but one along the Virginia border, have a high level of Covid-19 risk, according to the latest weekly map from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The map showed only slight shifts among medium-risk and low-risk counties.  

Gov. Andy Beshear noted at his weekly news conference, held before the CDC report was released, that new corinavirus cases in Kentucky continue to move up and down a bit, continuing the recent plateau, but the recent increase in Covid-19 hospitalizations is subsiding. 

Again, he made a plea for Kentuckians to get the new Covid-19 booster shot and encouraged Kentuckians to make "wise decisions" when it comes to other preventive measures, like masking. 

"You know, masking when you choose to is a safe and effective tool," he said. "So please consider it when you believe that you need it." 

The CDC map, which is based on Covid-19 cases and hospital numbers to determine transmission and risk, shows number of high risk counties, shown in orange, dropped 54.5 percent from the prior week when the state had 11 counties in this category. 

All the high-risk counties continue to be in the eastern part of the state: Wolfe, Pike, Letcher, Harlan and Bell counties. 

In high-risk counties, the CDC continues to recommend that you wear a well-fitting, high-quality mask in public indoor spaces, and if you are at high risk of getting very sick, consider avoiding non-essential indoor activities in public where you could be exposed.

The map shows 49 Kentucky counties at medium risk, shown in yellow; and 66 at low risk, gown in green. 

If you live in a medium or high-risk county, the CDC advises those who are at high risk of getting very sick to wear a well-fitting mask when indoors and in public and to consider getting tested before having social contact with someone at high risk for getting very sick and consider wearing a mask when indoors when you are with them.

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention map
The CDC also has a transmission-level map, largely used by researchers and health-care facilities, that shows the level of virus spread in each county, at one of four levels. For the first time in a while, it shows one county with a low level of transmission: Todd. Twenty-six counties had with a moderate level of transmission, up from 15 in the prior week, and the rest had either substantial or high levels of transmission.

State officials have encouraged Kentuckians to use the other CDC map to guide their preventive measures.

On Thursday, Jan. 26, a U.S. Food and Drug Administration advisory panel voted unanimously Jan. 26 in favor of moving to an annual Covid-19 vaccine made up of one formula, with every person getting the same vaccine whether they are already vaccinated or not.

Dr. Peter Hotez, dean of the National School of Tropical Medicine at the Baylor College of Medicine in Texas, "said he prefers a twice-a-year routine to account for the anticipated summer and winter surges each year," The Houston Chronicle reports.

“What they're really doing is balancing the science that says, ideally, semi-annually, with the reality that Americans are not really accepting the boosters barely anyway,” Hotez said. But Pfizer and Moderna "are considering raising the price of a single vaccine dose to $130, and the Biden administration has said it no longer has the Covid-19 funding to make additional purchases," the Chronicle notes.

Meanwhile, a committee of the World Health Organization began meeting Jan. 27, to discuss recommending that the agency declare Covid-19 is no longer a major global health emergency. The WHO said no recommendations would be issued before Monday.

Thursday, January 26, 2023

Ky. Opioid Abatement Advisory Commission subcommittees consider five grant applications, with nly two getting a yes vote

Commission subcommittees vote on grant applications. From left: Dr. Allen Brenzel, Eric Friedlander, Von Purdy, Scott Hornbuckle, Carlos Cameron, State Treasurer Allison Ball, Lorran Ferguson and Rep. Danny Bentley. (Photo by Melissa Patrick)
By Melissa Patrick
Kentucky Health News
Two of the three Kentucky Opioid Abatement Advisory Commission subcommittees reviewed five grant applications asking for funds to fight the opioid epidemic and approved two with caveats, classified two as "maybes" and gave a firm "no" to one on Jan. 24.

The settlement funds come from opioid manufacturers and distributors and are required to be used for reimbursement of prior expenses and the funding of new programs related to the prevention, treatment and recovery of people with opioid-use disorders and co-occurring substance-use disorders, or mental health issues.


So far, Kentucky is getting $842 million from these settlement funds, half of which will be allocated by the state advisory commission, with the other half going to cities and counties. Funds are to be disbursed annually, on various schedules, through 2038.

Members of the Prevention Subcommittee and the Reform and Compliance Subcommittee spent an hour deciding the initial fate of five applications referenced only by an assigned number, to keep them private.

Details from the applications were occasionally and vaguely mentioned during the committee discussion. 

However, it was apparent that one of the two applications that got a "yes" vote, both with caveats and adjustments, dealt with harm reduction, while the other was for unnamed program for a small youth cohort. The "maybe" group included a national organization that would partner with existing programs in Kentucky and an elective class to be offered to younger students. The application that got the "no" vote involved a group from New York that proposed something that is already being done in Kentucky.

Concerns and questions were raised on the "yes" and "maybe" applications that must be answered before they move forward to the full commission.

The main concern with all four applications was money, with a general consensus that they were asking for too much to execute their plans. Other concerns dealt with coverage areas, a need for assurance that the monies would be spent in Kentucky, questions about staffing models and salaries, and a need to know how the programs might overlap with existing programs. 

The committee said all of the applications were different from each other and could not be grouped together. 

Application criteria

Bryan Hubbard, executive director and chair of the advisory commission, opened the meeting by reading the 12 criteria established in an emergency administrative regulation to guide the assessment of the applications. 

 The regulation says the commission, in awarding funds, shall consider: 
  • Compliance with applicable law;
  • The entity or agency's record and responsibility in utilizing effectively any funds received previously from the commission or local governments, as described in KRS 15.293;
  • The geographic reach of the application;
  • Amounts received from the commission or local governments;
  • The utility and effectiveness of any part of the application;
  • The extent to which Kentucky residents are served by the application;
  • The extent to which prior allocations from the commission have served similar purposes;
  • The extent to which the application proposes to serve a portion of the population that otherwise would not receive such service;
  • The extent to which the application proposes to incorporate relevant partnerships that are likely to increase the efficiency and effectiveness of programming;
  • The extent to which the application proposes, among other things, to educate the public about opioid misuse and opioid-use disorder, reduce the occurrence of opioid misuse and opioid-use disorder, promote resistance to opioid misuse and opioid-use disorder, promote the effective treatment of opioid-use disorder, and/or combat the effects of opioid misuse, including co-occurring mental-health issues;
  • The extent to which the application activities align with accepted evidence-based practices; and/or
  • The sufficiency of records to validate the requested amounts.
Hubbard then instructed the subcommittee to place the reviewed applications into a yes, no or maybe category, adding that the maybes should also include a list of questions and concerns that would be addressed by the applicant so that they could then be placed into a yes or no category. 

He said the applications placed in the "yes" category would be assessed for their coverage areas, that like proposals would be grouped together and that unique, stand-alone proposals would remain so. 

"That is our process," he said. 

Later in the meeting, Scott Hornbuckle, a staffer with the commission, clarified what a yes vote for an application meant: "Yes means it's a good idea, we want them to participate at some level, we need to look into it further. It does not mean, yes, we approve their grants at this price point," but the application would move to the next step in the process. 

Hubbard told the legislature's health committees Jan. 19 that the commission had received 32 completed applications and 231 more are in progress. He said the total asked by the completed applications is $63.6 million.

Applications are being accepted on a rolling deadline, and the application date is open-ended, at least for now. The commission plans to make the first awards in the spring, with hopes of making three more later this year. 

Members of the subcommittees

Members of the Prevention Subcommittee in attendance were Von Purdy, representing citizens at large and chair of the joint subcommittee; Eric Friedlander, representing the Cabinet for Health and Family Services; and Carlos Cameron, district director for Rep. Hal Rogers, who was appointed by Senate President Robert Stivers. 

Dr. Allen Brenzel, medical director of the Department for Behavioral Health, Developmental and Intellectual Disabilities, who serves if Friedlander is absent, also attended the meeting. 

Members of the Reform and Compliance Committee in attendance were state Rep. Danny Bentley, appointed by House Speaker David Osborne; Vic Brown, representing law enforcement, who attended via telephone; and state Treasurer Allison Ball. Jason Roop, representing victims of the opioid crisis, was absent. 

Also present was Lorran Ferguson, Ball's chief of staff and deputy treasurer.

Monday, January 23, 2023

How to avoid vision problems from diabetes, which 13.6% of Kentuckians have, 7th in U.S.; 33.8% more have pre-diabetes

Diabetes can cause blindness. (smirart/iStock/Getty Images)
By Joseph Brown
University of Kentucky

Diabetes is a disease so prevalent in the U.S. that it is considered to be an epidemic. In Kentucky, according to the American Diabetes Association, approximately 13.6% of the adult population has diagnosed diabetes, seventh in the nation.

Another 33.8% of Kentuckians have been diagnosed as having pre-diabetes. Diabetes can result in devastating consequences financially and physically for the families and those who have it.

With a diabetes diagnosis, you must be aware of the risk factors you face. One of these risk factors is that you can develop a serious eye condition called diabetic retinopathy. It causes vision loss and blindness in those who have diabetes by causing issues with the blood vessels connected to the retina.

If you have diabetes, it is important to get an eye exam once a year, since you may not notice any symptoms in early stages. Catching this condition early on will be the best course of action in preventing vision loss.

What are the symptoms?
  • Changes in vision such as trouble reading or blurred vision
  • Fluctuating vision
  • Spots or dark streaks floating in your vision
  • Dark or empty areas in your vision
  • Eye pain or redness
  • Difficulty seeing in the dark
What can I do to prevent diabetic retinopathy? The best course of action is managing your diabetes with a healthy diet, regular exercise and following your doctor’s instructions with medications. You should also ensure you get a regular eye screening, and monitor your blood sugar, cholesterol and blood pressure at all times.

What kind of treatment is available? If caught early, your doctor will likely recommend more regular eye exams. However, in the later stages, there are a variety of treatments available to stop your vision from worsening, such as injections, laser treatment or eye surgery. Overall, it is important to see your doctor with any concerns you may have to find the right course of action for you.

Saturday, January 21, 2023

Flu keeps declining, but shot recommended while activity remains

Kentucky Department for Public Health graph
By Melissa Patrick
Kentucky Health News

Influenza cases in Kentucky continue to decline, dropping again for the sixth week in a row, according to the state's latest weekly flu report

"The flu is somewhat declining, but it still remains at an elevated level," Gov. Andy Beshear said at his regular weekly news conference Thursday. "Get your flu shot. It works against the strains that are out there, it's still worth getting the flu shot now." 

A flu shot is recommended for everyone 6 months and older as long as flu activity continues. Flu season runs through May.

The report shows 633 new cases of the flu were confirmed in the week ended Jan. 14, down from 967 the week prior, a drop of  34.5 percent. The number of confirmed cases this flu season is 39,425. 

Kentucky's flu activity level remains "regional," meaning cases have been confirmed in at least two, but fewer than half, of the state's 16 regions.

The report says flu has killed eight children and 122 adults this flu season, with four of the adult cases due to the flu and Covid-19 coinfection. 

By far the highest number of cases is among children 10 and younger, followed by people 11-20.

Counties with the highest number of flu cases in this report were Jefferson, with 151; Jessamine, 46; Madison, 35; and Scott, 32.


Friday, January 20, 2023

Healthgrades recognizes 3 Ky. hospitals as among America's best

By Melissa Patrick
Kentucky Health News

Saint Joseph Hospital in Lexington was the only Kentucky hospital included in the list of "America's 100 Best Hospitals" by Healthgrades, an online source for information about physicians and hospitals. This is the fifth consecutive year Saint Joseph has made the list, having previously been recognized among the Top 250 hospitals by Healthgrades, according to a hospital news release.

Anthony A. Houston, CEO of CHI Saint Joseph Health, said in the release. “It has been a challenging few years in health care; however, I remain inspired by the dedication to excellence and human kindness our caregivers demonstrate each and every day. Their commitment has allowed us to again be recognized as a leading hospital in the U.S.”

Saint Joseph Hospital was also recognized as one of the top 100 hospitals for critical care and pulmonary care. It received a "State Ranking Award" for gastrointestinal care, gastrointestinal surgery, pulmonary care and was a recipient of a "Stroke Care Excellence Award." 

Two other Kentucky hospitals were listed among Healthgrades' list of "America's 250 Best Hospitals": St. Elizabeth Edgewood Hospital and Lourdes Hospital in Paducah. All three are owned by Catholic organizations.

St. Elizabeth Edgewood was also recognized as one of the top 100 hospitals for orthopedic surgery. In addition, it received the "Cardiac Surgery Excellence Award;" a "State Ranking Award" for gastrointestinal care; a "Stroke Care Excellence Award;" and a "Surgical Care Excellence Award."

Lourdes Hospital was also recognized in the top 100 hospitals for critical care, gastrointestinal care, gastrointestinal surgery, pulmonary care and stroke care. In addition, it received the "Cranial Neurosurgery Excellence Award;" "Neurosciences Excellence Award;" and state rankings for gastrointestinal care, gastrointestinal surgery and pulmonary care. 

Healthgrades says data for the rankings come from Medicare Provider Analysis and Review (Medpar) files for 2019-2021. Healthgrades says it analyzed patient-outcomes data for 31 conditions or procedures from virtually every hospital in the country, and a hospital had to have at least 21 of the 31 procedures and conditions to be considered for the rankings. The overall performance score is based on mortality rates for each of the 31 procedures and conditions, both in hospital and 30 days post- admission, with the higher emphasis on post admission deaths. Medpar files have records for all Medicare beneficiaries who use hospital inpatient services.

Wednesday, January 18, 2023

UK gets $3.7 million to figure out why Ky. Appalachian counties have low Covid-19 vaccination rates, and how to get them up

State Dept. for Public Health map, adapted by Kentucky Health News; for a larger version, click on it.
By Christopher Carney
University of KentuckyResearchers from three colleges at the University of Kentucky and the state Department for Public Health are leading a five-year, $3.7 million project to study Appalachian Kentucky residents' hesitancy to get vaccinated against Covid-19.

The project is called Kentuckians Vaccinating Appalachian Communities, or K-VAC. It plans a personalized, community-engaged approach and involves researchers from UK's College of Public Health, the College of Medicine and the College of Communication and Information and is funded by the National Institutes of Health.

Rural Appalachian Kentucky communities are particularly vulnerable to Covid-19 suffering and death. More than half of Kentucky residents have received at least one dose of a coronavirus vaccine, many Kentucky counties have had much lower uptake.

Marc T. Kiviniemi and Kathryn M. Cardarelli, of the public-health college's Department of Health, Behavior & Society, are the co-principal investigators and researchers on the project. They are spearheading the multilevel approach that addresses the individual, relational and structural variables potentially contributing to vaccine hesitancy in this region of Kentucky.

“We are studying ways of simultaneously addressing the willingness to be vaccinated, and vaccine accessibility, and then seeing if addressing those problems increases the portion of the population that has received a vaccine," Cardarelli said.

Kiviniemi said, “This region is rural, with many communities geographically isolated and with challenges with access to health care. In addition to low socioeconomic status, and elevated levels of chronic disease, this population is placed at significant risk of complications and mortality due to Covid-19 infection. K-VAC’s vaccination interventions must use individually tailored, strong community partnerships and strategies to build trust with this community.”

Cardarelli added, “We understand that there are different attitudes and feelings about vaccinations. This collaborative, community-based research aims to build better, trustworthy communications to help populations make more informed, actionable decisions while addressing the structural barriers such as physical location, transit time, community features, access to health care, among others.”

The co-investigators include the public-health college's Angela Carman, Anna Hoover and Emily Slade; the College of Medicine's Dr. Kevin Pearce and Jamie Sturgill; the College of Communication and Information's Diane Francis, Emily Messerli of the state health department's Immunization Branch; and Center of Excellence in Rural Health Director Fran Feltner. The center, based in Hazard, will provide facilities for the project.

To ensure that the project’s approach is responsive to the communities’ cultural, social, historical and economic contexts, K-VAC will be guided by a Community Advisory Board that includes members of the Kentucky River Health Consortium, which includes more than 50 organizations within K-VAC’s target population, including human-services organizations, health coalitions, law-enforcement agencies and managed-care organizations that administer Medicaid in Kentucky.

“Vaccination is a critical strategy for reducing the Covid-19 overall burden and health disparities, yet vaccine intentions and uptake are unacceptably low in our partner communities in Appalachian Kentucky,” Cardarelli said. “Nationally, individuals with lower education, lower household income and those living in rural areas are more likely to express Covid-19 vaccine hesitancy. I am excited to be a part of this project, in collaboration with our project and community partners, to improve the lives of this population.”

Coronavirus cases increase again in Ky.; state's infection rate ranks fourth among the states; Covid-19 hospitalizations rank 21st

N.Y. Times graphs show Kentucky's new-case rate is fourth among the states; click image to enlarge.
By Melissa Patrick
Kentucky Health News

After going up 76% in the week just preceding, new coronavirus cases went up another 22% last week, and the number of deaths increased 59%. Meanwhile, influenza cases dropped for the fifth week in a row. 

The state Department for Public Health's latest weekly report showed 7,559 new cases of Covid-19, or 1,351 per day. That's up from 6,208 new cases the week before. Of the new cases, 14% were in people 18 or younger. The report was released Tuesday because of the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday. 

The share of Kentuckians testing positive for the coronavirus in the past seven days was 10.37%, down from 11.78% the week before. These numbers do not reflect at-home testing. 

The weekly new-case rate was 13.06 cases per 100,000 residents, down just a bit from the prior week's 14.67. The top 10 counties were Elliott, 60.8 cases per 100,000; Menifee, 35.2; Simpson, 31.5; Harlan, 30.2; Breathitt, 28.3; Barren 28.1; Bath, 26.3; Adair, 26.0; Leslie, 26; and Perry, 25.5.

The New York Times ranks Kentucky's infection rate fourth among the states, with a 167% increase in cases in the last two weeks. The newspaper's statistics differ from the states because of different methodologies. The Times ranks Kentucky 21st in Covid-19 hospitalizations.
Kentucky hospitals reported 406 patients with Covid-19, down 85 from the week prior; 63 of them were in intensive care, down 10; and 31 were on mechanical ventilation, up five. 

The state attributed 59 more deaths to Covid-19 last week, up from 37 the week prior. Since the Dec. 5 report, Kentucky has seen an average of 42 deaths per week.

The Covid-19 death toll in Kentucky stands at 17,793. To remember those lost and those who struggled and helped during the pandemic, construction is underway on a memorial at the state Capitol. Louisville sculptor Amanda Matthews was commissioned to create the monument, “United We Stand, Divided We Fall.” Funds to build the monument will come from the Team Kentucky Covid-19 Memorial Fund. 

Gov. Andy Beshear gave an update on the progress of the memorial at his Jan. 12 news conference. He said he expects the memorial to be complete this spring.

“We’re going to have lost over 18,000 Kentuckians at least through this,” Beshear said. “It’s going to be a place where people can grieve. We’ve seen heroic efforts of so many people, including our health care heroes. They deserve to be recognized.”

Kentucky Department for Public Health graph
Flu cases declining

Flu cases in Kentucky declined in each of the last five weeks, according to the state's latest flu surveillance report, for the week ended Jan. 7. 

The report shows 967 new cases of the flu were confirmed in the week ended Jan. 7, down from 1,307 the week prior, a drop of 26%. The number of confirmed cases this flu season is 38,792. 

Kentucky's flu activity level remains "regional," meaning cases have been confirmed in at least two, but fewer than half, of the state's 16 regions. 

The report says flu has killed eight children and 116 adults this flu season, with three of the adult cases due to the flu and Covid-19 coinfection. Most flu cases continue to be in people under 20. 

 Counties with the highest number of cases in this report were Campbell, with 35 cases; Daviess, 40; Fayette, 37; Jefferson, 332; and Kenton, 62.

Tuesday, January 17, 2023

Going smoke-free in 2023? Medication doubles your odds of success

Daria Kulkova, iStock/Getty Images Plus
By Audrey Darville
University of Kentucky

Most people who smoke attempt to quit at least once a year, so it’s no surprise that quitting smoking is one of the most popular New Year’s resolutions year after year.

If you plan to quit in 2023, there are support tools available that can set you up for success, including medications that can help minimize uncomfortable withdrawal symptoms and cravings when trying to quit.

Studies show that using cessation medicines can double your chances of successfully quitting.

There are three different types of medications approved by the FDA to help you quit smoking — the first is nicotine replacement therapy (NRT), which includes gum, lozenges, patches, inhaler and nasal spray. The other two, bupropion, and varenicline, do not contain nicotine and also help people stop smoking and reduce cravings.

If you have tried using NRT to quit before but it didn’t seem to help, you may want to talk to your health care provider about other forms of NRT, varenicline or bupropion.

Varenicline works differently than other quit-smoking medicines by attaching to the same parts of your brain that are stimulated by nicotine, reducing the urge to smoke. It also makes smoking less pleasurable by blocking some of nicotine’s effects. Bupropion helps people quit smoking by decreasing craving and other nicotine withdrawal symptoms. We now know that combining NRT patches and gum or lozenges is more effective than using one form alone.

Most people need NRT or take varenicline or bupropion for 12 weeks. Your health care provider might prescribe it for longer, if needed.

Talk to a health care provider to get a prescription for varenicline, bupropion or an NRT inhaler. Your doctor will review your medical history to help determine the right prescription for you, and discuss how to use it safely.

Cessation medications are affordable for most Kentuckians. Medicaid and many health insurance plans cover FDA-approved quit-smoking medicines, including varenicline and bupropion.

In addition to medications, counseling is another accessible treatment strategy that increases your likelihood of success. In Kentucky, the free quitline 1-800-QUIT-NOW provides personalized coaching to help you quit tobacco for good.

If you’ve tried quitting before, don’t be discouraged and don’t give up! It can take around 10 attempts to quit for good. Quitting is the most important thing you can do to improve your health and quality of life.

Sunday, January 15, 2023

Dietitian says even 10% weight loss has health benefits; weight-loss drugs, diets and pediatric guidelines are in the news

American Heart Association photo
By Melissa Patrick
Kentucky Health News

As the end of January approaches and that New Year's resolution to lose weight may have already been forgotten, it's important to remember that if you are overweight, it's worth the effort to hang onto that resolution. Even losing up to 10 percent of your body weight can provide health benefits. 

Karen Klefot, registered dietitian and diabetes consultant at the Barnstable Brown Diabetes Center at the University of Kentucky, told Kentucky Health News that it's important for a person to set short-term goals when they are trying to lose weight and that even a 10% weight loss can improve blood pressure, sleep, cholesterol and energy levels.  

"There is value in losing up to 10 percent of an individual's weight," Klefot said. "Oftentimes, we feel like we have to lose 50 pounds, but . . . that's a lot of weight, when really, honestly, you know, we can have those health benefits with it only being 10 percent."

Klefot offered several suggestions for getting started with a weight-loss plan, including keeping track of your daily exercise and daily food intake as a way to evaluate where some lifestyle changes can be made. 

"I think it's important to focus on things that are realistic and attainable, especially when it comes to weight loss," she said, later adding, "And I would say to focus on one to two pounds per week." 

For example, she said one easy lifestyle change is to trade sugar-sweetened beverages for water or to add more fiber-rich foods, fruits, vegetables and whole grains to the diet. And, she said, eat less fast food, which takes some planning ahead.    

Asked about the popular low-carbohydrate diets, Klefot stressed that it's important to not cut out carbohydrates completely because they are the main fuel source for our bodies. 

"We're not supposed to be depriving our body of carbs," she said. Also, "We need healthy fat and we need protein."

Further, she said it's important to limit sweet treats to "every now and then, but maybe not every single day." And if you have a strong sweet tooth, try adding more fruit to your diet. 

Klefot also noted that increasing your physical activity is important for weight loss, noting that the general recommendation is for a person to get 150 minutes of moderate-intensity aerobic activity a week. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention adds two or more days of muscle-strengthening activities a week to that recommendaton. 

MyPlate.gov is the federal government's guide to healthy eating.
Recognizing that insurance does not always cover weight-loss efforts, Klefot encouraged people to look at reliable sources when it comes to seeking solutions, such as MyPlate.gov, the U.S. Department of Agriculture's guide to healthy eating. In addition, she encouraged yearly physicals and said localthe  health department often offers diabetes programs. 

"I wish more insurances would cover more appointments with a registered dietitian because I think more patients would be able to come," which would likely reduce both obesity and diabetes in Kentucky," Klefot said. 

Best diets in 2023

Each year U.S. News & World Report reviews a list of science-backed diets and ranks them. The diets are reviewed by a panel of leading medical and nutrition specialists in diabetes, heart health and weight loss. 

Of the 24 diets that were reviewed, the Mediterranean diet ranked first. This diet focuses on plant-based foods, like fruits and vegetables, while incorporating whole grains, beans, nuts, seafood, lean poultry and unsaturated fat from extra-virgin olive oil.

The DASH diet, which stands for dietary approaches to stop hypertension, or high blood pressure, tied for second place. It also emphasizes fruits, vegetables, whole grains, lean protein and low-fat dairy, which are high in blood pressure-lowering nutrients, like potassium, calcium, magnesium and fiber.

Also tied for second was the flexitarian diet, a semi-vegetarian diet that allows a person to be a vegetarian most of the time, but to still be able to enjoy meat on a special occasion. 

New weight-loss guidelines for children

For the first time in 15 years, the American Academy of Pediatrics has released new evidence-based recommendations for treating childhood obesity, with an emphasis on early and intensive treatment. 

The new guidelines stress that obesity is a chronic disease and should be treated as such. And while the guidelines continue to say that intensive behavioral therapy and lifestyle changes should be a first-line approach, for the first time AAP now recommends children 12 and older be considered for anti-obesity medications and those 13 and older with severe obesity be considered for weight-loss surgery. 

“There is no evidence that ‘watchful waiting’ or delayed treatment is appropriate for children with obesity,” Dr. Sandra Hassink, an author of the guideline and vice chair of the Clinical Practice Guideline Subcommittee on Obesity, said in an AAP news release.

NBC News reports that there are now four drugs approved for obesity treatment in teens starting at age 12: "Orlistat, Saxenda, Qsymia and Wegovy — and one, phentermine, for teens age 16 and older. Another drug, called setmelanotide (brand name Imcivree), has been approved for kids age 6 and older who have Barde-Biedl syndrome, a genetic disease that causes obesity."

In Kentucky, 39% of children were either overweight or obese in 2019-20, up from 37% in 2016-2017, according to the 2022 Kids Count Data Book. The State of Childhood Obesity report says that in 2020-2021, 25.5% of Kentucky's children were obese. 

New anti-obesity drugs are expensive

The Trust for America's Health latest annual report says four of every 10 Kentucky adults are obese and 72.3% are either obese or overweight, ranking the state third in the nation.

New drug treatments for obesity are working, but they are expensive and are not always covered by health insurance, Lesley Stahl reported Jan. 1 on CBS's "60 Minutes." 

One of those drugs is semaglutide, marketed under the brand Ozempic for Type 2 diabetes and Wegovy, in higher doses, for weight loss. CBS reports Ozempic was first approved by the Food and Drug Administration as a type 2 diabetes medication in 2017. Wegovy was approved by the FDA as a chronic weight management treatment in 2021.

In support of these medications, Dr. Fatima Cody Stanford, an obesity doctor at Massachusetts General Hospital and associate professor at Harvard Medical School, told Stahl that the common beliefs about obesity are all wrong. It's not willpower, she said, "It's a brain disease. And the brain tells us how much to eat and how much to store." Further, she said, "The number one cause of obesity is genetics." 

Doctors are frustrated that there are drugs that works for obesity, but insurance companies won't cover them. 

"We are frustrated every single day when we see patients who desperately need to lose weight to reduce diabetes, reduce the hypertension, stroke, heart disease, and we can't give them this fabulous, robust medication that is very effective and safe. And we can't give it to them because insurance won't cover it," Dr. Caroline Apovian, co-director of the Weight Management and Wellness Center at Brigham and Women's Hospital in Boston, told Stahl. 

In Kentucky, Ozempic and Wegovy are not covered by Medicaid for weight loss. Stahl reported that  Rhode Island officials have decided that health insurance for their state employees will cover the entire class of anti-obesity drugs.

NBC News reports that experts are confident that the FDA will likely approve Eli Lilly & Co.'s drug tirzepatide for weight loss in 2023, but it also will be expensive and there is little indication that insurers will widely cover it. 

Lilly declined to comment on the new drug's cost, but NBC reports, "Outside experts said it is possible the drugmaker could price it similarly to Wegovy, which carries a list price of around $1,500 for a month’s supply, and Saxenda, which costs about $1,350 for a month’s supply."

Study: If you're obese or diabetic, and get over 20% of calories from fast food, you're more likely to get a deadly liver disease

Photo from WomenFitness.net
People who are obese or diabetic and get 20 percent or more of their calories from fast food are more likely to get non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, a potentially life-threatening condition, says a new study from the University of Southern California.

The study, published in the peer-reviewed journal Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology, "gives people extra motivation to reduce fast-food consumption," a USC news release said. The study found that beyond the obese and diabetic, "The general population has moderate increases of liver fat when one-fifth or more of their diet is fast food."

“Even a moderate increase in fat can lead to non-alcoholic fatty liver disease,” said  Dr. Ani Kardashian, a USC hepatologist and lead author of the study. “The severe rise in liver fat in those with obesity or diabetes is especially striking, and probably due to the fact that these conditions cause a greater susceptibility for fat to build up in the liver.”

Obesity and diabetes are big health issues in Kentucky. The state ranks first in obesity among childen aged 10 to 17, third in percenatge of the population considered obese, and seventh in percentage with diabetes.

Earlier research has shown links between fast food and obesity and diabetes, but this is one of the first studies to demonstrate the negative impact of fast food on the liver, Kardashian said.

“If people eat one meal a day at a fast-food restaurant, they may think they aren’t doing harm,” said Kardashian. “However, if that one meal equals at least one-fifth of their daily calories, they are putting their livers at risk.”

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, also known as liver steatosis, can lead to cirrhosis, or scarring of the liver, which can cause liver cancer or failure, USC says. Liver steatosis affects over 30% of the U.S. population.

The study was based on the nation’s largest annual nutrition poll, the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. It characterized fast food as meals, including pizza, from either a drive-through restaurant or one without wait staff. It looked at about 4,000 adults whose fatty-liver measurements were included in the survey and compared these measurements to their fast-food consumption.

"Of those surveyed, 52% consumed some fast food. Of these, 29% consumed one-fifth or more daily calories from fast food. Only this 29% of survey subjects experienced a rise in liver fat levels," USC says.

"The association between liver steatosis and a 20% diet of fast food held steady for both the general population and those with obesity or diabetes even after data was adjusted for multiple other factors such as age, sex, race, ethnicity, alcohol use and physical activity."

Kardashian said, “Our findings are particularly alarming, as fast-food consumption has gone up in the last 50 years, regardless of socioeconomic status. We’ve also seen a substantial surge in fast-food dining during the Covid-19 pandemic, which is probably related to the decline in full-service restaurant dining and rising rates of food insecurity. We worry that the number of those with fatty livers has gone up even more since the time of the survey.”

Kardashian said she hopes the study will encourage health-care providers to offer patients more education about nutrition, especially to those with obesity or diabetes ,who are at higher risk of developing a fatty liver from fast food. The only known way to treat liver steatosis is through an improved diet.

Friday, January 13, 2023

University of Kentucky researchers find Covid-19 vaccinations and boosters protects mothers and babies

Ilhem Messaoudi, chair of the University of Kentucky
College of Medicine's Department of Microbiology,
 Immunology and Molecular Genetics.
Mark Cornelison | UK Photo.
By Lindsay Travis
University of Kentucky

University of Kentucky researchers have found that maternal vaccination against COVID-19 works to protect both the mother and baby.

The study, funded by a National Institutes of Health grant, was published in the American Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology Maternal-Fetal Medicine. The findings come as COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations are on the rise across the U.S. and the Commonwealth after the holidays.

“COVID-19 is here to stay. It’s not going anywhere," said Ilhem Messaoudi, Ph.D., chair of the Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Molecular Genetics in the UK College of Medicine. "The study shows that vaccines are safe and maternal vaccinations are an effective way to protect not only the mom but the baby until they become eligible for the vaccine. We don’t think that you can fully protect the baby by just breastfeeding.”

Messaoudi and her team at UK conducted the study in collaboration with Oregon Health & Science University.

Researchers monitored a cohort of 120 women from March 2021 until June 2022, through pregnancy, delivery and postpartum, plus two rounds of COVID-19 vaccinations and their booster shot. Roughly 90% of participants received Pfizer’s vaccine.

“What we’ve learned is the first series of the vaccine induces a pretty good immune response in the moms that we can track by looking at antibodies in their plasma,” said Messaoudi.

Scientists monitored antibody response in blood samples from the mother, umbilical cord and newborn along with donated breast milk from the vaccinated participants. Researchers found that antibodies passively transfer from mother to fetus in utero, offering the most protection.

“So at birth, these babies had maternal antibodies in circulation, which is fantastic. Getting vaccinated during pregnancy not only protected the mom, but also now provided passive protection for their newborns who are not eligible for the vaccine,” said Messaoudi.

In this study, the participants received their boosters after giving birth. Within a couple of weeks, researchers saw a dramatic increase in antibodies in the mother’s plasma, which were not directly passed to newborns at the time. But the antibodies in breast milk increased two- to three-fold, Messaoudi said, with a half-life of more than 200 days.

“There was a massive increase in antibodies, which was unexpected but great to see,” said Messaoudi. “You really needed the first two shots and the booster to achieve excellent protection, to have that very long-lived, durable immune response. Then the newborn is protected via antibody transfer in utero through the placenta and postnatal through breastfeeding.”

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommends everyone 6 months and older get the COVID-19 vaccine, including people who are pregnant, breastfeeding, trying to get pregnant now or might become pregnant in the future.

People who are pregnant or were recently pregnant, are more likely to get severely ill from COVID-19 compared to people who are not pregnant, according to the CDC, and have a higher risk for preterm birth.

“Pregnancy is a state of immunosuppression to facilitate the growth and development of a fetus. That’s why it’s even more important that pregnant women get vaccinated,” said Messaoudi.

The immunologist explained it’s the first step in a mother giving potentially lifesaving help to their child, like putting on an oxygen mask while on a plane before you help others.

“Not only is it important to get vaccinated, but it's important to go through the whole series of vaccinations because we also know from the study that just getting the first two shots is not going to be enough. You have to get your booster and the Omicron bivalent booster so that you can get the full benefit,” said Messaoudi.

Researchers will continue to monitor study participants and expect to release more findings on the boosters’ efficacy against the omicron variant in the continued fight against COVID-19.

“We now have a really large number of studies on vaccinations in pregnant women,” said Messaoudi. “They’ve all shown great safety, tolerability and immunogenicity, so we’ve hit the trifecta. The vaccines are safe and work. That’s what’s really important.”

Messaoudi told Travis that there were "no adverse outcomes" in the study, adding that every time a mother came in to give a breastmilk sample they also did a nasal swab to check for Covid-19. In addition, she said they got samples from the babies.

"We had very, very few breakthrough infections," she said. "It was great to see that. It’s doing what it’s supposed to be doing.”
   




Kentucky's child-vaccination rates are sixth worst in the nation

Choreograph, iStock /  Getty Images Plus
By Melissa Patrick
Kentucky Health News

When it comes to influenza and Covid-19 vaccinations, Kentucky's children are less protected than children in other states.   

Kentucky's children have the sixth lowest rate of vaccination against Covid-19 and influenza, with only 38% having received a Covid-19 vaccine and only 35% having a flu shot. That's much lower than the national rates of 57% and 55% respectively, according to a Quote Wizard report. 

Dr. Sean McTigue, medical director for pediatric infection and control at UK HealthCare, said in an e-mail that while most cases of Covid-19 and flu in children are mild to moderate and can be managed at home, they do see young patients who experience serious complications from these respiratory illnesses. 

"The best way to prevent serious illness from these viruses is through vaccinations," McTigue said. "This year’s flu vaccine is a very good match with the predominantly circulating strain of influenza, which makes it very effective. Additionally, the current Covid-19 bivalent booster is still showing good efficacy against the Omicron variant and its subvariants, which are currently the strains in wide circulation.”

The report adds that when people aren't vaccinated, it exposed those around them to additional risks, especially those with underlying conditions. 
Covid-19 vaccinations; Kentucky Department for Public Health chart

The researchers found that older children are more likely to be vaccinated than younger children. This certainly held true in Kentucky, where 25% of its 5-12-year-old population and 50% of its 12-to-17-year-old population are vaccinated. 

State reports break the Covid-19 vaccination numbers down a bit differently, but also show that older children are more likely to be vaccinated in Kentucky. The data shows only 5% of children under 4 have received the first dose of the Covid-19 vaccine; 25% of children 5-11; 50% of children 12-15; and 54% of children 16-17. 

Quote Wizard used data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the American Academy of Pediatrics to determine the vaccine rates in each state. Data were compiled in the last week of December 2022.


Wednesday, January 11, 2023

Black Kentuckians need more information about colon cancer screening, especially the availability of in-home tests, study finds

Most focus-group participants had not been offered
 stool-based testing as an option for colorectal cancer
 screening, stressing the need for more community-
based outreach. (Photo by fizkes, iStock/Getty Images Plus)
By Elizabeth Chapin
University of Kentucky

A recent study at the University of Kentucky's Markey Cancer Center highlights the need for increased outreach and education to reduce colorectal cancer screening disparities in Black communities.

According to the study, published published in the Journal of Cancer Education, people in Kentucky’s Black communities may not be aware of all of the colorectal-cancer screening options available to them, particularly stool-based tests.

Black communities are disproportionately affected by colorectal cancer. In Kentucky, Blacks who have colorectal cancer are more likely to die from the disease than whites.

Since about half of the racial gap can be explained by differences in screening rates, educating Black communities about screening options can save lives, says Markey Cancer Center researcher Aaron Kruse-Diehr, the study’s principal investigator.

“In the colorectal-cancer screening world, we like to say ‘the best test is the one a patient completes’ — and giving people multiple options has been shown in previous studies to increase their likelihood of completing screening,” said Kruse-Diehr, who is an associate professor in the UK College of Medicine. “To reduce the Black-white colorectal cancer mortality rate, we need to make sure Black people of screening age are being provided all available options.”

Regular screening, beginning at age 45 is the key to preventing colorectal cancer and finding it early. Two types of tests are recommended by the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force: visual exams (primarily colonoscopies) and tests that check a stool sample for signs of cancer. Stool-based tests are less invasive and, for many, more accessible since they can be done at home.

Kruse-Diehr said, “Home tests can reduce a number of both individual-level and structural barriers that often exist for many people with respect to completing colonoscopy, such as needing to take time off work, finding an individual to drive the person to/from the procedure, and travel distance to a provider who can perform colonoscopy.”

The research team partnered with five Black churches in Louisville, which has bihg racial differences in screening, to conduct focus groups exploring screening barriers and facilitators for cancer education and outreach.

While focus-group participants overwhelmingly recognized the importance of being up to date with screening, nearly all reported that they had never heard about stool-based tests or heard health-care providers offer them as an option.

To address this knowledge gap, participants stressed community-based outreach and communication from trusted individuals, such as local Black medical providers and colorectal cancer survivors.

Kruse-Diehr led the study with Elizabeth Holtsclaw, cancer support strategic partnerships manager at the American Cancer Society. Two of the study’s co-authors, College of Public Health undergraduates Carlee Combs and Rose Wood, helped analyze the data and write the results as part of an independent-study course.

The research team is now planning to pilot a church-based screening program with one of the partner churches, with hopes of eventually expanding the program across Kentucky.

“These study results are informing outreach efforts that we hope will make a huge dent in the death rates from colorectal cancer among Black Kentuckians,” said Kruse-Diehr.

Monday, January 9, 2023

Covid-19 cases up nearly 76% in Ky.; hospital numbers inched up

New York Times chart, adapted by Ky. Health News; to enlarge, click on it; to download, right-click.
By Melissa Patrick
Kentucky Health News

Kentucky reported a nearly 76 percent increase in new coronavirus cases last week, and hospital numbers inched up.

The state Department for Public Health's latest weekly report showed 6,208 new cases of Covid-19, or 886 per day. That's up 75.76% from the week prior when the state reported 3,532 new cases. Nearly 7% of the new cases, or 425 of them, were in people 18 or younger.

The share of Kentuckians testing positive for the coronavirus is 11.78%, down almost a full percentage point from 12.74% the week prior. These numbers do not reflect at-home testing.

Covid-19 hospital numbers rose, but not as much as the week before. Kentucky hospitals reported 491 patients with the disease, up 11 from a week earlier, with 73 in intensive care (up 15) and 26 on mechanical ventilation (up 2). 

The weekly new-case incidence rate was 14.67 cases per 100,000 residents, nearly the same as the prior week's 14.6. The top 10 counties were Bath, 35.4 cases per 100,000; Clinton, 35; Caldwell 32.5; Boyd, 32.1; Greenup,31.3; Lewis, 29.1; Harlan, 28.6; Cumberland, 28.1; Perry, 27.2; and Carlisle, 27.

The New York Times ranks Kentucky's infection rate 17th among the states, with a 12% decrease in cases in the last two weeks. 

The state attributed 37 more deaths to Covid-19 last week, up from 27 the week before. Kentucky's pandemic death toll is 17,734.

Sunday, January 8, 2023

Opinion: Covid-19 is mutating and apparently winning, so we need to take preventive measures well beyond vaccinations

Graphs by the New York Times, adapted by Kentucky Health News
By Kevin Kavanagh

There is no such thing as “herd immunity” for Covid-19. In this context it is a concept as antiquated as “the Earth is flat.”

The theory was based upon the work of William Farr in 1840 who proposed a bell-shaped curve which illustrated the body’s ability to mount a lasting response to an unchanging pathogen. As stated by one “herd immunity” supporter in the comments section of my previous article on this point, “The disease dies out because enough people have been exposed and developed relative immunity or died that the disease has no means of propagating itself on a large scale.”

That concept was formulated before science knew what viruses and mutations were, and that many biological systems are highly dynamic and constantly adapting. This is eloquently described in Steffanie Strathdee and Thomas Patterson’s book The Perfect Predator. It describes the biological dance between viral phages and their bacterial prey, each one adapting and re-engaging in a duel, the outcome of which is uncertain. With the exception of smallpox, no pathogen has ever been eradicated from the earth and with smallpox, eradication was achieved with a highly effective long-lasting vaccine.

With mutating RNA viruses such as SARS-CoV-2 (which causes Covid-19), “herd immunity” is an extinct construct. Unlike the relatively stable DNA virus of smallpox, RNA viruses have a much higher mutation rate.

The U.S. epidemiological curve of SARS-CoV-2 is a colliding roller coaster and nowhere near a bell curve. We have been hit with variant after variant; Delta infections transitioned to Omicron; and now we are struck by a soup of variants, composed of pathogens harboring a plethora of different immune-avoiding mutations, making the concept of “herd immunity” next to useless.

Unfortunately, SARS-CoV-2 appears to be the most adaptive and dynamic foe we have ever faced. Hoping that the antiquated concept of “herd immunity” will save the day, causing SARS-CoV-2 to “miraculously (go) away,” is just pure fantasy.

SARS-CoV-2’s high mutation rate is amplified by its extremely high infectivity. The CDC estimated that the Delta variant was as infectious as chickenpox, which has an R0 of 10 to 12. That means an average person infected with Delta infected 10 to 12 other people. Newer variants have evolved into some of the most infectious pathogens known to man. As the virus spreads it mutates. And as it mutates, it increases its ability to infect, evade our immunity and even attack our immune system.

Evidence is mounting regarding the immune dysfunction caused by SARS-CoV-2. We are seeing a dramatic rise in hospitalizations for the seasonal flu, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and even scarlet fever. The increase in RSV hospitalizations has been blamed on immunological weakening during the pandemic due to preventive measures such as masking. However, through November, the United States had correspondingly fewer RSV infections than in 2021, when an RSV surge was also seen. Germany also had a surge in RSV hospitalizations last winter, and now is seeing overwhelming RSV hospitalizations.

Not only does SARS-CoV-2 evade and attack our immunity, but the immunity is fleeting. The virus also resides in a variety of animal hosts where it can mutate and then reinvade the human population. Transmission of a mutated virus from whitetail deer to humans has been documented and there is evidence that Omicron originated in rodents then jumped to humans in South Africa.

The dangers of long Covid, persistent cardiovascular disease, blood clots and a plethora of mental problems caused by Covid-19, are real, and are adversely affecting the health of our workforce and our communities.

Our goal must be to decrease pathogen spread so society can function, with infections decreasing to a level that we can live with the virus. In this regard, it appears the virus is currently winning.

We need to embrace vaccinations, the use of N95 masks in crowded venues, along with home delivery, curbside pickup and outside dining. Indoor air quality must be improved to the point where it is safer indoors than it is outdoors.

If we continue to be a society focused on individualism rather than community or public health, I am afraid we will lose this fight. We need a paradigm shift in the way we strategize to control Covid-19, away from “herd immunity” and towards adapting our lives to live with this highly dynamic and constantly adapting foe.

Kevin Kavanagh is a retired physician from Somerset and chairman of Health Watch USA. This is an edited version of his original article, published in the Courier Journal.
New York Times chart, adapted by Ky. Health News; to enlarge, click on it; to download, right-click.